HORIBA MIRA provides its forecast for the most imminent trending developments in automotive technology for autonomy and electrification.
Dr Geoff Davies, Chief Strategy Officer, HORIBA MIRA has given his insight into the way vehicle technology will continue to change this year and in 2019.
In the past year, we’ve seen huge strides for the automotive industry in bringing new technologies to life, along with ways of improving safety, efficiency and emissions. Autonomous vehicle technology has continued to be a key focus for the industry across the world, with Google in the USA inviting members of the public to trial self-driving cars and the UK government’s move to develop laws for safe use of driverless cars. Even the city of Coventry saw driverless cars on the roads for the first time.
But 2017 was not just about autonomy. Continued speculation over the safety of connected and autonomous cars is driving improvements in Vehicle Resilience and the introduction of Real World Driving Emissions and the announcement of the 2019 Ultra Low Emission Zone in London highlights key developments in reducing emissions.
The automotive industry in 2018 will continue to drive these trends forward with a key focus on autonomy, vehicle resilience, emissions and electrification.
Connected and Autonomous Vehicles
By 2025, it is expected that 100% of cars will be connected with nearly all of the top 10 OEMs launching highly autonomous vehicles. As we move towards this greater connectivity, the next year will bring greater investment in connected and intelligent transport infrastructure, Advanced Driver Assistance Systems, also known as ADAS, will become common in passenger vehicles and a continued focus on providing the skills needed to develop future vehicle technology.
Massive increases in vehicle complexity and connectivity means cyber security will be critical to ensuring robust product development. Vehicle Resilience will be key, weaving together three key disciplines: system integrity, cyber security and system safety for risk driven development of safe, functional and more secure systems.
This year we’ll see a further focus on developing cleaner powertrains and Real World Driving Emissions Step 2 (RDE2) which will ensure new cars must conform to Euro VI standards in the real world environment. Furthermore, regulations will mean all types of transport in our cities will tighten, from taxis through to buses, with the Ultra Low Emission Zone in London coming into effect in the beginning of 2019.
Whilst the industry will continue to see a move to developing cleaner powertrains, forecasts suggest we will continue to see the increased electrification of vehicle powertrains. By 2025, we will see up to 60% of all vehicles have some form of hybridisation with 10-20% being pure Electric Vehicles. That said, there is still considerable work to make this a reality, particularly with the requirement for better electric and hybrid infrastructure and improving the range of Battery Electric Vehicles.